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| Both sides previous revision Previous revision | Last revisionBoth sides next revision | ||
| futurist_fieldguide:gbn_approach [2015-05-20 13:40] – nik | futurist_fieldguide:gbn_approach [2015-05-20 14:04] – alkan | ||
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| ===Step 1: Focal Issue === | ===Step 1: Focal Issue === | ||
| - | __Identify a //focal issue// / //key question// | + | __Identify a focal issue / key question__ |
| Think about what is vital to your situation and formulate your focal issue as a question. A good way to start might be to ask yourself, 'What keeps me awake at night?' | Think about what is vital to your situation and formulate your focal issue as a question. A good way to start might be to ask yourself, 'What keeps me awake at night?' | ||
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| //Note: When the local factors seem to be where the core issue of a group lies, we rank both the local factors and external driving forces based on importance and uncertainty. This means that our scenario axes could be a mix of internal and external forces.// | //Note: When the local factors seem to be where the core issue of a group lies, we rank both the local factors and external driving forces based on importance and uncertainty. This means that our scenario axes could be a mix of internal and external forces.// | ||
| - | ===Step 5: Critical uncertainties | + | === Step 5: Critical uncertainties === |
| __Select critical uncertainties and design scenario axes__ | __Select critical uncertainties and design scenario axes__ | ||
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| Plot the axes on a large piece of paper. If you have just one critical uncertainty, | Plot the axes on a large piece of paper. If you have just one critical uncertainty, | ||
| - | ===Step 6: Scenarios === | + | === Step 6: Scenarios === |
| __Create scenario narratives__ | __Create scenario narratives__ | ||
alkan