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| futurist_fieldguide:gbn_approach [2015-05-20 12:19] – alkan | futurist_fieldguide:gbn_approach [2015-05-20 13:40] – nik | ||
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| ==== The Schwartz/ | ==== The Schwartz/ | ||
| - | This approach outlines how to build a scenario based on the model presented by Peter Schwartz in //The Art of the Long View//. It is one of the most commonly used scenario methods. The process is quite simple and can be easily implemented by novice facilitators. This method creates evocative, albeit not too surprising scenarios, which are more like caricatures of the present than radically imaginative futures. | + | This approach outlines how to build a scenario based on the model presented by Peter Schwartz in //The Art of the Long View//. It is one of the most commonly used scenario methods. The process is quite simple and can be easily implemented by novice facilitators. This method creates evocative, albeit not too surprising scenarios, which tend to be useful |
| The challenge of the method lies in its focus on scenario axes derived from critical uncertainties: | The challenge of the method lies in its focus on scenario axes derived from critical uncertainties: | ||
alkan