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futurist_fieldguide:causal_layered_analysis [2015-05-19 11:52] majafuturist_fieldguide:causal_layered_analysis [2021-01-28 19:20] (current) maja
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 +==== Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) ====
  
-=== Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) ===+Causal layered analysis is a futures research method focusing on in-depth analysis of current issues and identifying alternative futures. The analysis happens on four levels: //litany//, //social or systemic causes//, //discourse/worldview// and //myth/metaphor//. Litany identifies current issues, assumptions, facts and data. At the next layer the social or systemic causes underlying the 'litany' are analysed. At the discourse layer, dominant worldviews and mindsets are examined, which give rise to the issues. The deepest layer looks at the foundational myths, metaphors and archetypes that influence the unconscious and/or emotional undertone beneath the issues. 
  
-<blockquote>Causal layered analysis is offered as a new futures research method. Its utility is not in predicting the future but in creating transformative spaces for the creation of alternative futures. Causal layered analysis consists of four levels: the litany, social causes, discourse/worldview and myth/metaphor. The challenge is to conduct research that moves up and down these layers of analysis and thus is inclusive of different ways of knowing.  +After understanding the layered causes of an issue, the method suggests looking at alternatives -- either within each layer or beginning with a new myth/metaphor and working up through the layers to create an alternative scenario. From this alternate scenario, new possibilities can be distilled and translated into solutions, policies, and other types of actions that one can begin implementing in the present. 
- +
-–Sohail Inayatullah in CLA: poststructuralism as method and the CLA Reader +
- +
-</blockquote>+
  
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 === Process === === Process ===
  
-Simplified+__CLA abridged:__ 
-  * define the issue (or question) + 
-  * discuss each layer separately (litany, systemic, worldview, myth/metaphor) +  * Step 1: define the issue (or question) 
-  * cluster into themes +  * Step 2: discuss each layer separately (litany, systemic, worldview, myth/metaphor) 
-  * after reaching the bottom layer, pick a different myth/narrative and create a scenario by moving up the other layers, up to the new events and behaviours in 'litany'+  * Step 3: cluster into themes (ideally 1--2 themes per layer) 
 +  * Step 4: after reaching the bottom layer, pick a different myth/narrative and create a scenario by moving up the other layers, up to the new events and behaviours in litany
 + 
 +{{https://neon.f0.am/s/Z8wExRaMHaR4ag2|FoAM's CLA Canvas / Template}} 
 + 
 +__In detail:__ 
 + 
 +== Phase I: Uncovering Causality == 
 + 
 +{{page>:futurist_fieldguide/uncovering_causality#process}} 
 + 
 + 
 +== Phase II: Discovering Alternatives (scenario building) == 
 + 
 +{{page>:futurist_fieldguide/discovering_alternatives#process}}
  
  
-==== References ====+=== References ===
  
  
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