✎ futurist_fieldguide:causal_layered_analysis [the libarynth]

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==== Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) ====

Causal layered analysis is a futures research method focusing on in-depth analysis of current issues and identifying alternative futures. The analysis happens on four levels: //litany//, //social or systemic causes//, //discourse/worldview// and //myth/metaphor//. Litany identifies current issues, assumptions, facts and data. At the next layer the social or systemic causes underlying the 'litany' are analysed. At the discourse layer, dominant worldviews and mindsets are examined, which give rise to the issues. The deepest layer looks at the foundational myths, metaphors and archetypes that influence the unconscious and/or emotional undertone beneath the issues.

After understanding the layered causes of an issue, the method suggests looking at alternatives -- either within each layer or beginning with a new myth/metaphor and working up through the layers to create an alternative scenario. From this alternate scenario, new possibilities can be distilled and translated into solutions, policies, and other types of actions that one can begin implementing in the present.

=== Process ===

__CLA abridged:__

* Step 1: define the issue (or question)
  * Step 2: discuss each layer separately (litany, systemic, worldview, myth/metaphor)
  * Step 3: cluster into themes (ideally 1--2 themes per layer)
  * Step 4: after reaching the bottom layer, pick a different myth/narrative and create a scenario by moving up the other layers, up to the new events and behaviours in litany.

__In detail:__

== Phase I: Uncovering Causality ==

== Phase II: Discovering Alternatives (scenario building) ==

=== References ===

* [[http://scenariosforsustainability.org/recipes/cla.html|Scenarios for sustainability]]
  * [[http://proutglobal.info/slideshows/training/Related%20web%20pages/002-Casual_Layered_Analysis.pdf|Causal Layered Analysis: Poststructuralism as a method]]
  * [[http://metafuture.org/cla%20papers/Inayatullah%20%20Causal%20layered%20analysis%20-%20theory,%20historical%20context,%20and%20case%20studies.%20Intro%20chapter%20from%20The%20CLA%20Reader..pdf|CLA Reader]]

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